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| Thread ID: 150461 | 2022-02-03 23:38:00 | The Crystal Ball | piroska (17583) | PC World Chat |
| Post ID | Timestamp | Content | User | ||
| 1484088 | 2022-02-03 23:38:00 | Failed. In the Herald today: Covid Response Minister Chris Hipkins has admitted being dubious about infection-rate modelling in light of international projections that tens of thousands of new community cases would be surging across New Zealand by this long Waitangi Day holiday weekend. "I've always been pretty sceptical about the models," he told Newstalk ZB's Mike Hosking. Questioned on earlier figures that up to 50,000 new cases would be emerging by Waitangi Day - and 80,000 a day a few weeks later - Hipkins described the calculations as useful. Hosking pointed out the Government was paying millions for local modelling. "Instead of six million (dollars), how about you give me one million, I'll model for you." Why do people think computers can "predict" anything. All they do is output the data you fed into it. |
piroska (17583) | ||
| 1484089 | 2022-02-04 00:03:00 | The modellers are producing the results that the Government requires from them. Nothing else if they want to keep their TV celebrity fame and their lucrative government contracts. | CliveM (6007) | ||
| 1484090 | 2022-02-04 06:17:00 | Of course Hipkins would find the projections "useful." They allow the government to retain the element of fear in their efforts to control the populace. Frightened people are more likely to be obedient and compliant to whatever restrictions might suit their whim. And media are paid by Government to disallow any dissenting views to be published. Now THAT'S scary. | Blue Druid (4480) | ||
| 1484091 | 2022-02-04 18:44:00 | Yes in reality those millions are buying complacency and obedience from the media and some of the populace. | gary67 (56) | ||
| 1484092 | 2022-02-04 19:16:00 | Got to pay to keep the snouts in the trough I suppose! Ministry of Stupid Decisions sure has a lot of staff. Ken ;) |
kenj (9738) | ||
| 1484093 | 2022-02-05 09:52:00 | That's an old phrase "crystal ball"!!. The one I used in accounting was "what if", what if we started to export our products and it's different "scenarios", fixed and variable costs. Writing must be on the wall, this covid thingy is about to bolt, now that they are going to relax the travel arrangments for all and sundry. lurking. |
Lurking (218) | ||
| 1484094 | 2022-02-06 07:36:00 | Yes in reality those millions are buying complacency and obedience from the media and some of the populace. I agree except for Hoskings and NZH. I dont include Slater he is a knobber, the rest of the liberal leftist fourth estate do nothing to pull up our Communist government and its sheeple followers. |
prefect (6291) | ||
| 1484095 | 2022-02-07 04:25:00 | A huge Omicron wave is coming. Anyone believing otherwise is deluded. There could well be thousands of cases in the community at present. They have yet to become sufficiently symptomatic to seek testing, then there's the lag with testing, and the further lag with the quasi daily reporting. Those that like to get out and about are the very same population that will initially spread the Omicron wave, and they're unlikely to forego their long weekend of indulgence with friends and family to test a sore throat... that can wait until the work week has begun... then later in the week their results will come in, and a few days lafter that their friends and family will be lining up for testing. THe true impact of the weekend won't be seen till this time next week. I'm trying to protect a 98 year old. That doesn't allow me the option to label this as political BS or media hype. The international stats show what's in store, within a couple of weeks, and covering almost all of March. |
Paul.Cov (425) | ||
| 1484096 | 2022-02-07 07:12:00 | Good on you Paul, hope the 98 year old makes a century. We start indoor bowls on the 1 March and the community church where the club plays, has "mandated" that masks are to be worn and vaccine pass shown. lurking. |
Lurking (218) | ||
| 1484097 | 2022-02-07 17:27:00 | I like to get out and about at weekends its true, but the places I go tend to be remote and I don't usually see anyone. So not always true. However SWMBO works in a role dealing with the public in the Info centre so is much more likely to bring it home than I am. |
gary67 (56) | ||
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