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| Thread ID: 50317 | 2004-10-17 02:52:00 | Lotto Tips | lotto (6285) | PC World Chat |
| Post ID | Timestamp | Content | User | ||
| 281937 | 2009-03-05 10:38:00 | The Law of Large Numbers If a trial (such a play of a game of chance) is repeated many times, then the more times the trial is repeated, the more likely it is that the frequency of any particular event will be close to the probability of that event. For example, if we flip our coin many times, the more times we flip it, the more likely it is that the the number of "heads" divided by the total number of tosses will be close to 1/2. This may be taken as the definition of probability, or it can be taken as a theorem, in which case it is called the Law of Large Numbers. I guess these guys don't know what they are talking about either? |
Muzzargh (6289) | ||
| 281938 | 2009-03-05 13:28:00 | Lol diaf. If you've flipped a coin 1000 times (not that large of a number), and flipped 510 heads and 490 tails, then the proportion of heads flipped is 0.51. If we were to carry on, and this was just the first 1000 flips of 10000 to be done, and we end up flipping 50/50, then we would have 5010 heads and 4990 tails, giving us a proportion of heads flipped as being 0.501, which is close to 0.5 for all intents and purposes. What you are (unsuccessfully) trying to argue, is that the coin has some sort of memory of what side it has landed on previously, so will try to counteract that on the next flip. Coins don't remember ****. |
roddy_boy (4115) | ||
| 281939 | 2009-03-05 15:31:00 | It's not about the coin (or whatever you use) it's about the result. 1000 was just a figure, use 10000 or even 1000000 it doesn't matter, but can you explain why the results will always tend towards a 50/50 split? | Muzzargh (6289) | ||
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