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Thread ID: 92479 2008-08-12 01:41:00 At the risk of opening this wound again.... johcar (6283) PC World Chat
Post ID Timestamp Content User
696629 2008-08-12 01:41:00 What a surprise!!!


Climate change models may be inaccurate

U.S. scientists say they've discovered some measures used in atmospheric science overlook important factors affecting climatic warming and cooling. The Arizona State University researchers led by Associate Professor Peter Crozier said their discovery could lead to more accurate forecasting of global-warming activity. Crozier, along with Ira Fulton and Duncan Alexander, studied nanoscale atmospheric aerosols called brown carbons, which they said are largely being ignored in climate computer models in favor of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. But the researchers say there are other atmospheric components that can also contribute to climate change -- including carbonaceous and sulfate particles from combustion of fossil fuels and biomass, salts from oceans and dust from deserts. They said brown carbons from combustion processes are the least understood of all aerosol components, but their effect is complex because it both cools the Earth's surface and warms the atmosphere. "Because of the large uncertainty we have in the radiative forcing of aerosols, there is a corresponding large uncertainty in the degree of radiative forcing overall," Crozier said. "This introduces a large uncertainty in the degree of warming predicted by climate change models." The research appears in the Aug. 8 issue of Science magazine. Makes you wonder what else they don't know...
johcar (6283)
696630 2008-08-12 02:58:00 I know I’m b….y cold and if the temperature were to rise 1.7 degrees then beauty.

Better still 10 degrees. :thumbs:
B.M. (505)
696631 2008-08-12 12:21:00 Hate to say I told you so ;)
pressf1.co.nz
It's good to see at least one skeptic that doesnt swallow the 'greenies' propaganda without question (unlike our politicians ( Kyoto Protocol=carbon taxes=billions of dollars, hmm? :groan: )).
feersumendjinn (64)
696632 2008-08-12 16:29:00 I have a weather report sniffer and find some interesting stats from time-to-time.

Here's a sample of the date today (AUG 12th) of some of the weather anomalies that happened in the recent and sometimes distant past:



1778
A Rhode Island hurricane prevented an impending British-French sea battle, and caused extensive damage over southeast New England.

1933
The temperature at Greenland Ranch in Death Valley CA hit 127 degrees to establish a U.S. record for the month of August.

1936
The temperature at Seymour TX hit 120 degrees to establish a state record.

1955
During the second week of August hurricanes Connie and Diane produced as much as 19 inches of rain in the northeastern U.S. forcing rivers from Virginia to Massachusetts into a high flood. Westfield MA was deluged with 18.15 inches of rain in 24 hours, and at Woonsocket RI the Blackstone River swelled from seventy feet in width to a mile and a half. Connecticut and the Delaware Valley were hardest hit. Total damage in New England was 800 million dollars, and flooding claimed 187 lives.

1987
Early afternoon thunderstorms in Arizona produced 3.90 inches of rain in ninety minutes at Walnut National Monument (located east of Flagstaff), along with three inches of pea size hail, which had to be plowed off the roads.

1988
Fifteen cities in the northeastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Youngstown OH reported twenty-six days of 90 degree weather for the year, a total equal to that for the entire decade of the 1970s.

1989
Thunderstorms were scattered across nearly every state in the Union by late in the day. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Fergus Falls MN, and golf ball size hail and wind gusts to 60 mph at Black Creek WI. In the Chicago area, seven persons at a forest preserve in North Riverside were injured by lightning.

I don' really see a trend or pattern here either.
SurferJoe46 (51)
696633 2008-08-12 21:05:00 Oh there's a trend alright.
Before the 1940's there was no weather worth a mention on TV.
R2x1 (4628)
696634 2008-08-12 22:17:00 Oh there's a trend alright.
Before the 1940's there was no weather worth a mention on TV.

When I was younger, we read the Indians' smoke signals. :mad:
SurferJoe46 (51)
696635 2008-08-13 00:45:00 When I was younger, we read the Native Americans smoke signals. :mad:

Fixed.
Jams (1051)
696636 2008-08-13 00:50:00 Fixed.

Bollocks to that.
roddy_boy (4115)
696637 2008-08-13 05:57:00 Fixed .

If you want to talk about Natives, what about Maoris?

We white guys are native of the Caucasian Mountains somewhere .

But I'm not white . . . more a friendly shade of tan . . . but there are other whiter parts that you'll not see . . . and pink too .
SurferJoe46 (51)
696638 2008-08-13 07:08:00 If you want to talk about Natives, what about Maoris?

We white guys are native of the Caucasian Mountains somewhere .

But I'm not white . . . more a friendly shade of tan . . . but there are other whiter parts that you'll not see . . . and pink too .


We won't go into that . :help:
Cicero (40)
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