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Thread ID: 104409	2009-10-26 20:46:00	Long range wether?	Cicero (40)	PC World Chat

Post ID	Timestamp	Content	User
824414	2009-10-26 22:27:00	It might not be a bad idea to prepare ourselves for next year when and if Lady Barker’s winter revisits. . Next Year? Last 5th November Wyndham got snow.	pctek (84)
824415	2009-10-26 23:57:00	approx 25% Summary :) Weather.. Both books were based on her three-year experience of living in New Zealand in the 1860s running Steventon, a Canterbury sheep farm on the banks of the Selwyn River, with her second husband Frederick Broome. In "Station Life in NZ" Lady Barker describes in August 1867 “snow 6 to 9 feet deep in places, 90% of lambs lost, 4 days of very severe snow falling, followed by massive flood.” After that great 1867 snowstorm, through which they lost 4,000 out of 7,000 sheep, Frederick sold his interest in Steventon and returned with Lady Barker to England in December the following year. ...We read “In the winter of 1903 the weather at Arrowtown was of a very severe type, and the temperature is said to have receded to a point 28 degrees below zero. This extreme cold resulted in the destruction of the whole of the gum trees, and a considerable number of pine trees; a loss experienced generally throughout the Lake district, where the ruin of so many groves of handsome trees very much modified the picturesque ness, not only of Arrowtown, but also of Queenstown, and the scenery on the roads in the district. In Middlemarch the winter of 1903 will long be remembered as an exceptionally cold season; the temperature registered at Middlemarch on the 17th of July of that year was 13 degrees below zero.” ...As described in Tephra Magazine, June 2003 “Probably the worst storm in NZ in the last hundred years occurred during winter of 1939 when snow fell the length and breadth of the country from June through to August. ... In Auckland, snow fell just before dawn 27 July sticking to clothes of people who were about such as milkmen and policemen. 5cm of snow lay on the summit of Mt Eden, Bombay Hills shone white most of the morning and in the Clevedon hills snow lasted into the afternoon and numerous snowball fights took place between people who had never seen snow before.” ...The New Zealand Journal of Ecology 1; 81-83 states “Winter 1974 was unusually wet, winter 1975 was the coldest for many years and summer 1975-76 was wet and unusually cold”. ...This means that if you take the orbits of the planets of our solar system and average their centres of gravity to find out their focus, you get a shifting point that swings from one Sun's radius beyond the Sun across to one Sun's radius on the other side, crossing the centre of the Sun every 36 years. ...The Moon, our nearest celestial neighbour, acting as one of the cosmic planets orbiting the Sun, is tuned to this tide and in turn influences weather events and tides on planet Earth as to a 36-38-year multiple, determining the repeatability of seasons and tides every 18-19 years and of droughts every 9 years. ...The 2005 Hurricanes Katrina and Rita could have been the return of either 1965’s Hurricane Betsy and/or 1969's Hurricane Camille, the worst calamities that far recorded on the Eastern Seabord, and Camille in turn was the most significant event there since the 1933 Chesapeake Bay Disaster, each a 36-yr jump. In this part of the world 2006's Cyclone Larry was 36 years after 1970's Cyclone Ada, and 2006's Cyclone Monica was 18 years (half of 36) after 1988's Cyclone Bola. ...It might not be a bad idea to prepare ourselves for next year when and if Lady Barker’s winter revisits.	Sue (33)
824416	2009-10-27 02:32:00	Credit where credit is due, please, and no plagiarism. If you wish to copy someone else's work, please don't just copy and paste, passing it off as your own, pay the true author - and this forum - the courtesy of acknowledging his or her work. The work is that of Titirangi's Ken Ring. Ken's work in the field of long range weather forecasting has gained many followers over the years, for the simple reason he is constantly proving accurate in his forecasting. Some of these forecasts he writes years in advance. The "forecasting" provided by NZ Met is probably more acurately described as a reasonable extension of a nowcast over the ensuing 4 - 5 days at best. For those interested, Ken's site may be found at https://www.predictweather.co.nz. You'll find many articles (such as the one copied in this thread), an ezine link, and accurate weather forecasts for the next few days - with an accuracy I understand of around 80% :thumbs: And by the way, "wether" should be spelt, "weather". :angry	WalOne (4202)
824417	2009-10-27 02:40:00	Well I’m looking forward to some Global Warming. :thumbs: It can’t come soon enough. :D	B.M. (505)
824418	2009-10-27 02:43:00	Ooh, you're in trouble now Cic. :p	wratterus (105)
824419	2009-10-27 02:43:00	That guy is a nutter, didn't know it was him behind the sunspots and weather. Ok now I will file it with Elvis sightings and conspiracy theories about princess di's death. When I was at school they told us we were moving into another mini ice age so if global warming is true and I have my doubts bring it on to counteract the Earth's cooling.	prefect (6291)
824420	2009-10-27 04:57:00	Credit where credit is due, please, and no plagiarism . If you wish to copy someone else's work, please don't just copy and paste, passing it off as your own, pay the true author - and this forum - the courtesy of acknowledging his or her work . The work is that of Titirangi's Ken Ring . Ken's work in the field of long range weather forecasting has gained many followers over the years, for the simple reason he is constantly proving accurate in his forecasting . Some of these forecasts he writes years in advance . The "forecasting" provided by NZ Met is probably more acurately described as a reasonable extension of a nowcast over the ensuing 4 - 5 days at best . For those interested, Ken's site may be found at https://www . predictweather . co . nz . You'll find many articles (such as the one copied in this thread), an ezine link, and accurate weather forecasts for the next few days - with an accuracy I understand of around 80% :thumbs: And by the way, "wether" should be spelt, "weather" . :angry I am being pleasant here,walo go take a running jump . If anyone thinks I wanted to take credit for that info,please say . .	Cicero (40)
824421	2009-10-27 05:04:00	No, I worked out you were quoting someone else without a problem!:banana	KarameaDave (15222)
824422	2009-10-27 05:07:00	No, I worked out you were quoting someone else without a problem!:banana That sir,is because you are no slug. In fact I would say extremely perceptive.	Cicero (40)
824423	2009-10-27 05:13:00	I bought Ken Ring's book for 2008 (at the end of 2007) and noted throughout (on each day) whether (another kind of weather! :)) he was accurate or not - for my local area obviously. Although he only did slightly better than 60% - in other words, only marginally better than the MetService, the fact that he is able to forecast out so far in advance - and get it right nearly two thirds of the time - is impressive	johcar (6283)
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